Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.670400 3.185812 3.747284 4.401066 5.138029 5.939704 6.874278
2026-02-01 1.834752 2.479314 3.245614 4.210491 5.379024 6.734491 8.410928
2026-02-08 1.291236 1.976787 2.864020 4.064857 5.614222 7.512029 9.975627
2026-02-15 0.934942 1.622704 2.589551 3.988996 5.899513 8.352055 11.667244
2026-02-22 0.747998 1.455718 2.526170 4.166281 6.511186 9.635564 13.993455
2026-03-01 0.566430 1.247656 2.360244 4.165456 6.865320 10.592261 15.944654
2026-03-08 0.388793 0.991767 2.066989 3.924676 6.838914 11.011630 17.184057
2026-03-15 0.271440 0.806214 1.847107 3.756450 6.886533 11.518106 18.550286
2026-03-22 0.228090 0.759107 1.860139 3.965652 7.521699 12.899577 21.205190
2026-03-29 0.202909 0.745293 1.931415 4.278307 8.337951 14.584293 24.360699
2026-04-05 0.174949 0.714561 1.962303 4.518508 9.047470 16.135939 27.376427
2026-04-12 0.136108 0.638097 1.883107 4.544313 9.396448 17.145287 29.622087
2026-04-19 0.094899 0.534132 1.724842 4.405740 9.464199 17.736207 31.293942
2026-04-26 0.065870 0.450894 1.593415 4.299798 9.575761 18.396915 33.093988
2026-05-03 0.044938 0.380954 1.475597 4.202631 9.689578 19.059381 34.913830
2026-05-10 0.031030 0.328099 1.387829 4.155511 9.887609 19.864143 36.979527
2026-05-17 0.025718 0.315544 1.411190 4.357725 10.568698 21.503319 40.417476
2026-05-24 0.018147 0.279594 1.354830 4.368679 10.879014 22.522812 42.891478
2026-05-31 0.009781 0.219811 1.201722 4.125842 10.667331 22.629583 43.886207
2026-06-07 0.005192 0.176760 1.086635 3.955123 10.581232 22.943190 45.219493
2026-06-14 0.004265 0.174094 1.121463 4.175186 11.316262 24.740305 49.058029
2026-06-21 0.003966 0.180445 1.193875 4.501843 12.290977 26.995448 53.710892
2026-06-28 0.003333 0.179593 1.236776 4.752498 13.115339 29.001359 57.987599